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Sunday, March 8, 2015

The Bull market to enter it's seventh year!


The bull market starts into it's seventh year on Monday and there are plenty of reasons to be cautious.

The S&P 500 weekly chart over the last 10 years.



Friday marked six years since the the S&P 500 hit an intraday low of 666.79 on March 6, 2009.
The S&P 500 opened on Friday at 2,100.91, a remarkable 215% gain. It is off from the all-time high of 2,119.59 on February 25th 2015. There have only been three bull markets since World War 2 that have lasted this long. It is no coincidence that the bull market is in its 7th year starting on Monday because this is the 7th year of the 7 year cycle that started back in biblical times. I will be writing more about the Shmita year that ends on September 13th this year, as we get closer to the date. I wrote about it in previous articles. See here.

This is a bit more detail about it. If you are a skeptical person don't bother reading any further. If you have an open mind then read on.

I first read about the Shmita a few years ago. It is a 2000 year mystery. I am not a religious person as such, but being a person who is interested in cycles, I found it absolutely fascinating. 

The biblical Feast of Trumpets, also known as the Jewish New Year, began at sundown on Wednesday, Sept 24th 2014, which also marked the appearance of a new moon.

The converging event possibly connected to the Shmita is the Blood Moon Tetrad discovered by Pastor Mark Blitz. The first of the Tetrad occurred on April 15, 2014. It was seen in the night sky on October 8, 2014. Pastor Blitz, using the Biblical Jewish calendar and the NASA website, discovered that these Blood Moons or total lunar eclipses would occur on Jewish Feast days in 2014-2015. Most notable of these, in relation to the upcoming Shmita year, will be the final Blood Moon, on the Feast of Tabernacles, September 28, 2015. This is also the date for the celebration of the end of the Shmita year to be held at the Western Wall in Jerusalem and this final Super Blood Moon will be visible in Jerusalem.

Pastor Blitz’ investigation of the Blood Moon phenomena connected the tetrads to momentous dates in Jewish history such as the 1492 expulsion of the Jews from Spain, the declaration Jewish statehood in 1948, and the Six Day War of 1967. Like Rabbi Cahn, Pastor Blitz is careful not to make predictions of what might occur during this period of the Blood Moon Tetrad.

The word “Shemitah” is most often translated as “the release” or “the remission” and applied to the wiping away of debts as well as the resting of the land.

Messianic Jewish Rabbi Jonathan Cahn unlocked the mystery of the Shmita’s as it applies to modern-day nations. He explains that nearly every major U.S. stock market collapse since the early 1900s has occurred during a Shmita year, as did the terrorist attack and stock market collapse of September 2001 and the financial collapse of 2008. This Shmita year began on Wednesday September 24th 2014 through to September 13th 2015.

The Shmita could contain a warning about a wider collapse of not just stock markets or housing markets but potentially America’s very existence as leader of the free world. If the nation does not pull back from its current course and repent, it could be in for some rough times as this next Shmita year plays out, according to Cahn.

In the book titled - The Mystery of the Shemitah Cahn explains that empires see their fortunes rise and fall in accordance with the Shmita. Germany began its Third Reich with the annexation of Austria in 1938, a Shmita year, and it ended seven years later when Adolph Hitler committed suicide in April 1945, another Shmita year. Cahn points out in his book that the Russian, Japanese, Ottoman and Austro-Hungarian empires also fell in accordance with the Shmita.

Cahn has also found patterns of special importance in cycles of 28-year periods or four Shmita years in succession.

In 1945, a Shmita year, America emerged as the uncontested leader of the free world following the surrender of Germany and Japan in World War II. And 28 years later, in another Shmita year in 1973, America lost its first war, Vietnam, fell victim to the Arab oil embargo and saw its dollar weaken as a result of President Nixon’s decision to remove it from the gold standard two years earlier.

Forward another 28 years, there were the attacks on the World Trade Center towers and the Pentagon on Sept. 11, 2001, and a historic stock market collapse a few days later, followed by another historic market collapse seven years later in the Shmita year of 2008.

The five greatest economic crashes of the last 40 years – 1973, 1980, 1987, 2001 and 2008 – all occurred in Shmita years. God set these apart as Sabbath years.

As he pointed out in his earlier book, in 2001 and 2008 they coincided precisely with the exact end of the Shmita year on the Hebrew calendar day of Elul 29.

Cahn says history shows that as one empire begins its descent, another starts to rise. If America refuses to heed the warnings, repent and turn back to God, he sees possibilities of China becoming the world’s next big financial powerhouse.

“When the mystery manifested in ancient times, it involved the fall of the Babylonian Empire and the rise of Persia,” Cahn said. “In modern times, it has involved the fall of European powers and the rise of America. What it would point to now is the fall of the American Empire.”

Another mystery in the book, the Mystery of the Towers, would point to Asia, as in China, as the most immediate replacement of America’s role, at least in the realm of economic power, he said.

“At the same time this doesn’t rule out other powers such as the European Union, etc. In the biggest picture, both ‘The Mystery of the Shemitah’ and ‘The Harbinger’ point to the fall of America’s pre-eminence among the nations – and this corresponds with end-time prophecy, which leaves a conspicuous absence with regard to America,” Cahn said.

There is also something special about the day of Elul 29 on the Jewish calendar. This is the last day of the Hebrew month of Elul, when all debts were cancelled and all credit released, and the nation of Israel’s financial accounts were wiped clean. This is the day that ushers in the month of Tishri and the Feast of Trumpets or Rosh Hashanah.

The first shaking was 9/11 and a stock market crash on Sept. 17, or Elul 29 on the Jewish calendar. The second was in 2008, seven years later to the day. At end of September 2008, the greatest stock market crash in U.S. history, again on Elul 29, touched off the Great Recession.

So the two worst stock market crashes in U.S. history both happened on Elul 29 to the day.

“So it means in Israel the orthodox Jews were cancelling out their debts symbolically, while God is cancelling out the debts, there’s this giant Shmita, across the world, both times, to the day,” Cahn explained.
 
On Rosh Hashanah it is customary to blow the trumpets once each day as a type of a warning, and the sound of the trumpet is a symbol of alarm and judgment throughout Scripture.

“Yes Elul is all about warning, it’s about trumpets, it’s about getting right with God and it’s about repentance,” Cahn said. “Sundown comes and then comes the Feast of Trumpets, the blowing of the trumpet. The day of the judgment, or the day of the warning. All these converging on this exact precise day.”

The nation of America was dedicated to God on April 30, 1789, the day George Washington was sworn in as its first president, according to Cahn’s earlier research for the book, “The Harbinger.”

America’s first day as a nation with a full government in place was April 30, 1789. After Washington was sworn in, he left to pray at the little stone chapel in New York on America’s very first day as a nation. That chapel was at the edge of what is today Ground Zero in New York City, America’s first capital.

Because America was forged as a nation under God, it was blessed beyond that of any other nation to date in terms of its economy, military and international influence.

While the agricultural concept of Shmita may no longer be in place, Cahn believes the blessing and judgment aspects of Shemita still apply, especially for nations founded by people professing Judeo-Christian values. He presents compelling evidence throughout American history that when the nation left its godly moorings, the hand of God’s protection also seemed to leave.

America’s future as a world leader also has huge implications for modern-day Israel.


“America is still Israel’s strongest ally. America is also the home of the largest Jewish population on earth outside Israel,” Cahn said. “A great shaking here would affect Israel. It could even play a part in leading American Jews to return to Israel.”

But Cahn is careful not to predict what will happen in the coming Shmita year.

“The phenomenon may manifest in one cycle and not in another and then again in the next,” he writes. “And the focus of the message is not date-setting but the call of God to repentance and return. At the same time, something of significance could take place, and it is wise to note the times.”

Is there something to this? Time will tell. I will also be looking at the role that the Kondratieff wave cycle. You can see a video interview about here.

I just find this incredibly interesting. I can tell you that I wont be taking any exposure around September. 

Did Christine Lagarde, head of the IMF give a warning about a coming financial reset? Was she referring to Shmita in this speech to a private audience? I have no idea what she was talking about yet. See here

If it tuns out that there is nothing to this, then there is no harm done anyway but as the saying goes, "history repeats". I am also wondering if the current tensions in Israel are leading up so something bigger or is this more of the same of what we have seen before? See here.


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